Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.972652 7.708030 8.525531 9.509070 10.670213 12.010093 13.692046
2025-02-09 6.006096 7.023611 8.257291 9.894923 12.062905 14.914584 19.097756
2025-02-16 5.328195 6.450378 7.887556 9.924116 12.846757 17.090425 24.167649
2025-02-23 4.952769 6.166785 7.793564 10.231704 13.993453 19.993339 31.409405
2025-03-02 4.462155 5.656137 7.303463 9.865949 14.021460 21.113788 36.056162
2025-03-09 4.102079 5.280073 6.946974 9.626700 14.173855 22.447847 41.758344
2025-03-16 3.836161 5.007501 6.704118 9.517383 14.504614 24.180432 49.364675
2025-03-23 3.712014 4.924705 6.729771 9.835451 15.644588 27.878767 64.893891
2025-03-30 3.463898 4.636829 6.409378 9.523480 15.532410 28.828135 73.170836
2025-04-06 3.237303 4.365095 6.090643 9.174895 15.283636 29.387898 80.785584
2025-04-13 3.032154 4.113000 5.783725 8.813280 14.947757 29.643178 87.690488
2025-04-20 2.905774 3.974356 5.649808 8.750057 15.228936 31.610787 104.965960
2025-04-27 2.893440 4.024863 5.851533 9.377948 17.265941 39.807378 179.274003
2025-05-04 2.829297 3.990694 5.911954 9.757246 18.890772 48.192509 311.668678
2025-05-11 2.717074 3.869085 5.807155 9.785890 19.656985 54.271021 498.010472
2025-05-18 2.653933 3.823267 5.831520 10.087118 21.252152 65.450999 1138.978105
2025-05-25 2.508319 3.629096 5.568858 9.728917 20.881920 67.262716 1654.896617
2025-06-01 2.391031 3.476579 5.372158 9.494539 20.831772 70.888318 2978.240037
2025-06-08 2.299195 3.362517 5.238828 9.387429 21.153059 77.153116 8805.612050
2025-06-15 2.263986 3.343944 5.284113 9.699043 22.924260 95.491063 NaN
2025-06-22 2.161382 3.201730 5.080706 9.393403 22.530483 98.001597 NaN
2025-06-29 2.061624 3.060269 4.870739 9.051776 21.941786 98.533848 NaN
2025-07-06 1.966602 2.923479 4.662861 8.697249 21.242257 97.630959 NaN